Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs St Etienne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Kone Z.
26'
Zohore N.
42'
Thiam D.

AI Match Summary

St Etienne in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
50%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Etienne lately — more wins on the board than Boulogne.
  • St Etienne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 11%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne St Etienne
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Boulogne
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs St Etienne
0:1
Mar 3, 2015 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs St Etienne
1:2
May 5, 2010 Ligue 1
Boulogne vs St Etienne
0:1
Aug 22, 2009 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Boulogne
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Davitashvili Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 10 / 100
St Etienne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Boulogne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Boulogne scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS St Etienne
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
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St Etienne

(Away)
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2
St Etienne
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)