Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Troyes

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mille A.
22' Event
Monfray A.
Own Goal
56'
Hamdi M.

AI Match Summary

Troyes in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
51%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Troyes's recent run of results.
  • Troyes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 18%
Troyes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Troyes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Boulogne
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
1:2
Apr 27, 2012 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Boulogne
2:1
Dec 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
2:0
Mar 18, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Mille A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ripart R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 15 / 100
Troyes 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boulogne scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Troyes conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Boulogne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Troyes
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0
Boulogne
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0
Nancy
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1
Boulogne
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Troyes

(Away)
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2
GOAL FC
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)