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Stadium Background

Bourg Peronnas vs Besancon RC

France France

National 2 - Group D Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Laspalles R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D game between Bourg Peronnas and Besancon RC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bourg Peronnas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bourg Peronnas
30%
Draws
47%
Besancon RC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Besancon RC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Besancon RC's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Bourg Peronnas have produced (0.74).
  • Model gives Besancon RC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 20%
Besancon RC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourg Peronnas Besancon RC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.74 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Bourg Peronnas vs Besancon RC
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Besancon RC vs Bourg Peronnas
2:1
May 14, 2011 National 1 - Group B
Bourg Peronnas vs Besancon RC
1:2
Jan 15, 2011 National 1 - Group B
Besancon RC vs Bourg Peronnas
0:2
May 6, 2006 National 1 - Group B
Besancon RC vs Bourg Peronnas
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Laspalles R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Besancon RC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourg Peronnas 24 / 100
Besancon RC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourg Peronnas Besancon RC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besancon RC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besancon RC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Besancon RC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bourg Peronnas found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Bourg Peronnas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourg Peronnas

(Home)
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
29 Aug
Aubagne FC
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
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Besancon RC

(Away)
29 Nov
Freyming
1 : 0
Besancon RC
15 Nov
Besancon RC
4 : 0
Thionville
18 May
Besancon RC
1 : 1
Biesheim
11 May
Feignies-Aulnoye
1 : 0
Besancon RC
27 Apr
Besancon RC
3 : 4
Haguenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bourg Peronnas 26 16 5 5 48:25 50
2 Fleury 91 26 13 7 6 44:21 46
3 Furiani Agliani 26 10 13 3 31:18 43
4 FC Bobigny 93 26 10 12 4 39:30 42
5 Creteil 26 10 7 9 30:29 37
6 Biesheim 26 9 8 9 29:34 35
7 Wasquehal 26 9 7 10 35:39 34
8 Feignies-Aulnoye 26 9 7 10 28:32 34
9 Haguenau 26 9 5 12 32:47 32
10 Colmar 26 9 4 13 35:41 31
11 Auxerre II 26 8 6 12 32:32 30
12 Macon 26 6 10 10 34:37 28
13 Besancon RC 26 6 7 13 26:34 25
14 St Quentin 26 6 6 14 37:61 24
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