Sport Picks
Bourg Peronnas vs Caen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse 
Match Events
36'
36'
El Khoumisti F.
Assist: Portut K.
49'
49'
Gharbi A.
51'
51'
El Khoumisti F.
Assist: Hafid M.
AI Match Summary
Caen in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Caen lately — more wins on the board than Bourg Peronnas.
- Model gives Caen a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Caen have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 10%
Caen Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bourg Peronnas | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Caen
0:2
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Caen
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Caen vs Bourg Peronnas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bourg Peronnas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Caen Compare
Top Goalscorer El Khoumisti F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bourg Peronnas 10 / 100
Caen 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bourg Peronnas Caen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Caen conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
Bourg Peronnas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Bourg Peronnas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bourg Peronnas VS Caen
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bourg Peronnas
(Home) 03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1 Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Thionville
07 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
3 : 2 Villefranche
Page 1 of 4
Caen
(Away) 03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2 Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2 Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0 Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2 Caen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
14 Aug
Thionville
4 : 3 Caen
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2 Caen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
