Sport Picks
Bourg Peronnas vs Caen
France
Ligue 3 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse 
AI Match Summary
Bourg Peronnas host Caen in the Ligue 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bourg Peronnas have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Caen's 1.72 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Bourg Peronnas have won 0 to Caen's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.63, favoring Caen. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Caen at 1.72 per game, Bourg Peronnas at 0.9.
- Model gives Caen a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bourg Peronnas | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bourg Peronnas scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Caen conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Bourg Peronnas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Bourg Peronnas
(Home)Caen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thionville | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Rouen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | La Roche Vendee | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Orleans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 6 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Versailles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Paris 13 Atletico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Cannes | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Villefranche | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | Bastia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Bourg Peronnas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Fleury-Merogis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 16 | Amiens SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Quevilly | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Aubagne FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
