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Bourges vs Stade Montois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group D 2020/2021
Sat, Feb 20, 2021
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bourges host Stade Montois in the National 2 - Group D 2020/2021. Bourges go into this one as the clear favorite. Stade Montois have shipped 2.29 goals a game lately, while Bourges have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Bourges slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 0.93) back Bourges to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bourges
35%
Draws
22%
Stade Montois
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bourges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bourges have won more games recently than Stade Montois.
  • Bourges are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bourges Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Montois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourges Stade Montois
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 1
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 23
Goals Scored 1.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Bourges vs Stade Montois
0:0
Sep 12, 2020 National 2 - Group D
Stade Montois vs Bourges
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourges 76 / 100
Stade Montois 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourges Stade Montois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stade Montois conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Bourges's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bourges stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourges VS Stade Montois
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourges

(Home)
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
21 Jul
Bourges
1 : 1
Orleans
10 Oct
Trelissac
1 : 1
Bourges
26 Sept
Bourges
0 : 2
Moulins-Yzeure
19 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 1
Bourges
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Stade Montois

(Away)
28 May
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
21 May
Nantes II
2 : 2
Stade Montois
14 May
Stade Montois
0 : 1
Colomiers
30 Apr
Andrezieux
3 : 3
Stade Montois
23 Apr
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Chamalieres
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