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Bourgoin Jallieu vs Ales

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Bourgoin Jallieu and Ales finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bourgoin Jallieu
15%
Draws
39%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bourgoin Jallieu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ales come out ahead of Bourgoin Jallieu on wins alone.
  • Bourgoin Jallieu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bourgoin Jallieu Clean Sheet 20%
Ales Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourgoin Jallieu Ales
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Bourgoin Jallieu vs Ales
0:0
Aug 26, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Bourgoin Jallieu
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourgoin Jallieu 85 / 100
Ales 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourgoin Jallieu Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourgoin Jallieu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bourgoin Jallieu scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ales has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Bourgoin Jallieu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bourgoin Jallieu VS Ales
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourgoin Jallieu

(Home)
06 Feb
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 1
Reims
15 Jan
Bourgoin Jallieu
3 : 2
Lyon
21 Dec
Bourgoin Jallieu
4 : 1
Martigues
30 Nov
Bourgoin Jallieu
3 : 0
Olympique de Valence
16 Nov
ASJR Football
0 : 4
Bourgoin Jallieu
Page 1 of 6

Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)