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Bourgoin Jallieu vs Toulon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Diallo A.
(Penalty)
54'
Zouma L.
74' Event
Mourdi R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Bourgoin Jallieu and Toulon finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bourgoin Jallieu
15%
Draws
39%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bourgoin Jallieu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bourgoin Jallieu haven't matched Toulon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bourgoin Jallieu a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bourgoin Jallieu Clean Sheet 17%
Toulon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourgoin Jallieu Toulon
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 14
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Bourgoin Jallieu vs Toulon
0:3
Sep 23, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Bourgoin Jallieu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourgoin Jallieu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mourdi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diallo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourgoin Jallieu 75 / 100
Toulon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourgoin Jallieu Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourgoin Jallieu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourgoin Jallieu found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Toulon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bourgoin Jallieu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Toulon
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourgoin Jallieu

(Home)
06 Feb
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 1
Reims
15 Jan
Bourgoin Jallieu
3 : 2
Lyon
21 Dec
Bourgoin Jallieu
4 : 1
Martigues
30 Nov
Bourgoin Jallieu
3 : 0
Olympique de Valence
16 Nov
ASJR Football
0 : 4
Bourgoin Jallieu
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Toulon

(Away)
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
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