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Bourj vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bourj in this Lebanese Cup 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bourj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bourj
11%
Draws
80%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley haven't matched Bourj's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley's way, sitting at 80%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Lebanese Cup 2020/2021 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bourj have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bourj Clean Sheet 20%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourj Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2023 Lebanese Cup
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Bourj
1:2
Oct 15, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Bourj
0:2
Jan 8, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Bourj
1:2
May 4, 2021 Lebanese Cup
Bourj vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
4:1
Dec 13, 2020 Premier League
Bourj vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourj 12 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourj Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourj found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Bourj remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bourj VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bourj4
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1
Al Ansar2
Al Ghazieh1
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC1
Safa1
Shabab El Bourj SC0
Semi-finals
Bourj0
Al Ansar2
Nejmeh SC4
Safa0
Final
Al Ansar2
Nejmeh SC1