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Bourj vs Al-Mabarrah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Toure M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bourj
15%
Draws
12%
Al-Mabarrah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bourj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Al-Mabarrah haven't matched Bourj's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bourj's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bourj Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourj Al-Mabarrah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Al-Mabarrah
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourj 95 / 100
Al-Mabarrah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourj Al-Mabarrah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourj scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al-Mabarrah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Al-Mabarrah lost 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bourj VS Al-Mabarrah
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
60% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourj

(Home)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 6

Al-Mabarrah

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)