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Bourj vs Jwayya SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026
Bourj Logo

Bourj

0 - 3
FT
Jwayya SC Logo

Jwayya SC

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Maatouk H.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Maatouk H.
Assist: Farran Z.
83' Event
Farran Z.
Assist: Awada H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Bourj and Jwayya SC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jwayya SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bourj
15%
Draws
34%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bourj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bourj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Jwayya SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Bourj Clean Sheet 19%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourj Jwayya SC
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Jwayya SC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maatouk H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farran Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourj 28 / 100
Jwayya SC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourj Jwayya SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jwayya SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourj scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Jwayya SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Jwayya SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jwayya SC
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourj

(Home)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
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Jwayya SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)