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Bournemouth U18 vs Cardiff U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Bournemouth U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bournemouth U18
15%
Draws
36%
Cardiff U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff U18 have managed 1.18 goals a game lately — Bournemouth U18 are scoring more at 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff U18 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Bournemouth U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bournemouth U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U18 Cardiff U18
Matches Played 17 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2020 FA Youth Cup
Bournemouth U18 vs Cardiff U18
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U18 14 / 100
Cardiff U18 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U18 Cardiff U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth U18's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Cardiff U18 let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Cardiff U18 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U18 VS Cardiff U18
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Bournemouth U18
12 Sept
Bournemouth U18
1 : 3
Brentford U18
05 Sept
Bournemouth U18
2 : 2
West Ham U18
29 Aug
Ipswich U18
6 : 2
Bournemouth U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4
Brighton U18
Page 1 of 4

Cardiff U18

(Away)
19 Jul
Cardiff U18
2 : 4
Shrewsbury U18
12 Jul
Cardiff U18
7 : 2
Exeter U18
17 Jan
Cardiff U18
1 : 2
Bristol City U18
10 Jan
Oxford Utd U18
3 : 1
Cardiff U18
31 Mar
West Brom U18
2 : 1
Cardiff U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Blackburn U18 1
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 0
Preston U18 2
Arsenal U18 1
Southampton U18 0
Derby U18 1
Brighton U18 2
Manchester City U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Fulham U18 2
Mansfield U18 0
Burnley U18 3
West Brom U18 4
Middlesbrough U18 1
Chelsea U18 5
Bradford U18 0
Wolves U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Bournemouth U18 1
Cardiff U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Fleetwood Town U18 1
Norwich U18 0
Manchester United U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Sheffield Wed U18 2
Wigan U18 2
Tottenham U18 0
Birmingham U18 2
Barnsley U18 1
1/8-finals
Blackburn U18 4
Preston U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Brighton U18 3
Manchester City U18 1
Fulham U18 0
Burnley U18 2
West Brom U18 0
Chelsea U18 7
Wolves U18 0
Bournemouth U18 2
Millwall U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Leeds U18 0
Wigan U18 4
Birmingham U18 0
Quarter-finals
Blackburn U18 4
Arsenal U18 1
Manchester City U18 1
Burnley U18 0
Chelsea U18 1
Millwall U18 0
Manchester United U18 2
Wigan U18 1
Semi-finals
Blackburn U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Final
Manchester City U18 3
Chelsea U18 2