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Bournemouth U21 vs Barnsley U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Professional Development League 2025/2026
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Match Events

12' Event
Rees-Dottin R.

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth U21 in this Professional Development League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Bournemouth U21
15%
Draws
31%
Barnsley U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Bournemouth U21 have won more games recently than Barnsley U21.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Bournemouth U21 taking it.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Bournemouth U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Barnsley U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U21 Barnsley U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Barnsley U21
1:0
Sep 6, 2024 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Barnsley U21
4:3
Aug 29, 2023 Professional Development League
Barnsley U21 vs Bournemouth U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rees-Dottin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Barnsley U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U21 65 / 100
Barnsley U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U21 Barnsley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barnsley U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Bournemouth U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U21 VS Barnsley U21
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6

Barnsley U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Barnsley U21
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd U21
15 Sept
Coventry U21
5 : 3
Barnsley U21
01 Sept
Colchester U21
3 : 4
Barnsley U21
23 Aug
Barnsley U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
18 Aug
Cardiff U21
1 : 2
Barnsley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 28 18 4 6 67:34 58
2 Sheffield Utd U21 28 15 7 6 58:39 52
3 Bournemouth U21 28 16 2 10 67:47 50
4 Swansea U21 28 14 6 8 69:50 48
5 Peterborough U21 28 14 6 8 66:52 48
6 Huddersfield U21 28 14 6 8 59:50 48
7 Watford U21 28 12 9 7 69:53 45
8 Charlton U21 28 11 7 10 58:49 40
9 Cardiff U21 28 11 7 10 48:39 40
10 Wigan U21 28 11 5 12 67:58 38
11 Hull City U21 28 10 7 11 49:53 37
12 Barnsley U21 28 10 7 11 51:58 37
13 Millwall U21 28 11 3 14 48:52 36
14 Bristol City U21 28 10 5 13 45:54 35
15 Coventry U21 28 11 2 15 46:63 35
16 QPR U21 28 8 9 11 51:61 33
17 Sheffield Wed U21 28 8 6 14 49:63 30
18 Colchester U21 28 6 6 16 40:77 24
19 Fleetwood Town U21 28 5 8 15 36:63 23
20 Crewe U21 28 5 8 15 41:69 23
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)