Sport Picks

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Bournemouth U23 vs Arsenal U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Swanson Z.
90' Event
Saydee C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bournemouth U23
35%
Draws
28%
Arsenal U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bournemouth U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bournemouth U23 come out ahead of Arsenal U23 on wins alone.
  • Bournemouth U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Bournemouth U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bournemouth U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U23 Arsenal U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2022 Premier League Cup
Arsenal U23 vs Bournemouth U23
4:0
Oct 6, 2021 Premier League Cup
Bournemouth U23 vs Arsenal U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bournemouth U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saydee C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Arsenal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Swanson Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U23 35 / 100
Arsenal U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U23 Arsenal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Bournemouth U23's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bournemouth U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U23 VS Arsenal U23
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U23

(Home)
11 Feb
Bournemouth U23
2 : 2
Southampton U23
27 Jan
Southampton U23
0 : 1
Bournemouth U23
18 Jan
Arsenal U23
4 : 0
Bournemouth U23
16 Dec
Bournemouth U23
4 : 0
West Brom U23
06 Oct
Bournemouth U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U23

(Away)
01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1
Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2
Arsenal U23
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)