Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Leeds
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
25'
25'
Kroupi E. J.
41'
41'
Jimenez A.
46'
46'
Sub
Bogle J. In: Rodon J.
Out: Bogle J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leeds lately — more wins on the board than Bournemouth.
- Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 17%
Leeds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 15 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Leeds
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Leeds vs Bournemouth
2:2
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Leeds
4:1
Nov 5, 2022 Premier League
Leeds vs Bournemouth
4:3
Jan 20, 2015 Championship
Leeds vs Bournemouth
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Kroupi E. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rayan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Leeds Compare
Top Goalscorer Longstaff S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 84 / 100
Leeds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Leeds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Bournemouth stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Leeds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Leeds
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
22 Apr
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Leeds
20 Mar
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Manchester United
Page 1 of 3
Leeds
(Away) 25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0 Leeds
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
11 May
Tottenham
1 : 1 Leeds
01 May
Leeds
3 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0 Leeds
11 May
Tottenham
1 : 1 Leeds
26 Apr
Chelsea
1 : 0 Leeds
22 Apr
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Leeds
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
