Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Manchester City
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
37'
37'
Adams T.
39'
39'
Kroupi E. J.
Assist: Truffert A.
56'
56'
Sub
Silva B. In: Cherki R.
Out: Silva B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchester City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Manchester City have won more games recently than Bournemouth.
- Manchester City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Manchester City have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 12%
Manchester City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 22 |
| Draws | 14 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Manchester City vs Bournemouth
2:1
May 19, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Manchester City
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Manchester City vs Bournemouth
3:1
May 20, 2025 Premier League
Manchester City vs Bournemouth
3:1
Mar 30, 2025 FA Cup
Bournemouth vs Manchester City
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Kroupi E. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Manchester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Haaland E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 10 / 100
Manchester City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Manchester City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manchester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bournemouth scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Bournemouth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Manchester City let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Manchester City
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1 Genoa
Page 1 of 3
Manchester City
(Away) 20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3 Sunderland
17 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 0 Norwich
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1 Manchester City
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2 Manchester City
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0 Coventry
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1 Manchester City
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2 Manchester City
28 Aug
Crystal Palace
1 : 4 Manchester City
16 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0 Manchester City
05 Aug
K-League Stars
1 : 3 Manchester City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
