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Bournemouth W vs AFC Wimbledon W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth W in this Women's National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bournemouth W
20%
Draws
35%
AFC Wimbledon W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bournemouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bournemouth W have won more games recently than AFC Wimbledon W.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Women's National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bournemouth W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bournemouth W Clean Sheet 14%
AFC Wimbledon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth W AFC Wimbledon W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.9 1.66
Goals Conceded 1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Bournemouth W
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs AFC Wimbledon W
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Bournemouth W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth W 35 / 100
AFC Wimbledon W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth W AFC Wimbledon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bournemouth W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth W VS AFC Wimbledon W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth W

(Home)
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Bournemouth W
4 : 1
Hashtag W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
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AFC Wimbledon W

(Away)
13 Sept
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Real Bedford W
23 Aug
Plymouth W
0 : 6
AFC Wimbledon W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Hashtag W
2 : 2
AFC Wimbledon W
12 Apr
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Exeter W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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