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Bousalem vs Msaken

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Bousalem Logo

Bousalem

1 - 0
FT
Msaken Logo

Msaken

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Match Events

86' Event
Kouki M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Bousalem and Msaken finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bousalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bousalem
30%
Draws
31%
Msaken
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bousalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Msaken carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bousalem taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Bousalem Clean Sheet 68%
Msaken Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bousalem Msaken
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.72 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Bousalem vs Msaken
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Bousalem
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bousalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Msaken Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bousalem 46 / 100
Msaken 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bousalem Msaken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Msaken's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bousalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Msaken lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bousalem VS Msaken
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bousalem

(Home)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0
Msaken
Page 1 of 6

Msaken

(Away)
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2
Msaken
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)