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Bousalem vs Sfax Railways

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Dami O.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Tbargui B.
88' Event
Amri C.

AI Match Summary

Bousalem in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bousalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bousalem
30%
Draws
51%
Sfax Railways
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sfax Railways

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bousalem haven't matched Sfax Railways's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Sfax Railways taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bousalem Clean Sheet 22%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bousalem Sfax Railways
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.72 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Bousalem
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Bousalem vs Sfax Railways
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bousalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Amri C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tbargui B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sfax Railways Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bousalem 10 / 100
Sfax Railways 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bousalem Sfax Railways

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sfax Railways has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Bousalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bousalem scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bousalem VS Sfax Railways
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bousalem

(Home)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0
Msaken
Page 1 of 6

Sfax Railways

(Away)
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2
Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
13 Apr
BS Bouhajla
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)