Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Box Hill vs Goulburn Valley Suns

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Munguakonkhwa M.
90' Event
Kanelopoulos N.
90' Event
Edwards D.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Box Hill and Goulburn Valley Suns finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goulburn Valley Suns.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Box Hill
28%
Draws
50%
Goulburn Valley Suns
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Goulburn Valley Suns

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Box Hill haven't matched Goulburn Valley Suns's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Goulburn Valley Suns's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Goulburn Valley Suns have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Box Hill Clean Sheet 10%
Goulburn Valley Suns Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Box Hill Goulburn Valley Suns
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Box Hill vs Goulburn Valley Suns
1:2
Jun 22, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Box Hill vs Goulburn Valley Suns
0:1
Feb 23, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Goulburn Valley Suns vs Box Hill
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Box Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanelopoulos N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Goulburn Valley Suns Compare

Top Goalscorer Munguakonkhwa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Box Hill 22 / 100
Goulburn Valley Suns 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Box Hill Goulburn Valley Suns

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goulburn Valley Suns has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Box Hill scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Box Hill went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Box Hill VS Goulburn Valley Suns
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malvern City20141547:2343
2Goulburn Valley Suns19133343:2542
3Essendon Royals21122750:3138
4Bayside Argonauts20105539:2935
5Keilor Park20111829:2734
6Box Hill2095632:2532
7Whittlesea United2177732:2428
8Springvale2175925:3726
9Nunawading City2074920:3025
10Eastern Lions2066831:2724
11Werribee City21551127:3720
12Kingston City19621119:4020
13Altona City21371118:3116
14Moreland City19251220:4611