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Box Hill vs Keilor Park - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Furuyama R.

AI Match Summary

Keilor Park in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keilor Park.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Box Hill
20%
Draws
40%
Keilor Park
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Keilor Park have won more games recently than Box Hill.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Box Hill Clean Sheet 16%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Box Hill Keilor Park
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Box Hill vs Keilor Park
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Box Hill
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Box Hill Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Keilor Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Furuyama R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Box Hill 36 / 100
Keilor Park 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Box Hill Keilor Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keilor Park Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Box Hill scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Keilor Park conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Box Hill stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Box Hill VS Keilor Park
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Box Hill

(Home)
12 Sept
Bayside Argonauts
3 : 2
Box Hill
29 Aug
Goulburn Valley Suns
3 : 0
Box Hill
21 Aug
Box Hill
1 : 0
Nunawading City
15 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2
Box Hill
07 Aug
Bayside Argonauts
0 : 1
Box Hill
Page 1 of 6

Keilor Park

(Away)
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Keilor Park
29 Aug
Keilor Park
2 : 1
Altona City
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4
Keilor Park
14 Aug
Keilor Park
3 : 3
Whittlesea United
08 Aug
Keilor Park
0 : 4
Goulburn Valley Suns
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
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