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Box Hill vs Kingston City

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Varelas N.
27' Event
Weller N.
54' Event
Nielo M.

AI Match Summary

Box Hill in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Box Hill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Box Hill
20%
Draws
47%
Kingston City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kingston City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Box Hill have won more games recently than Kingston City.
  • Model gives Kingston City a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Box Hill Clean Sheet 10%
Kingston City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Box Hill Kingston City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Box Hill vs Kingston City
3:1
Mar 13, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Kingston City vs Box Hill
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Box Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Varelas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weller N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kingston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nielo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Box Hill 18 / 100
Kingston City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Box Hill Kingston City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kingston City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kingston City conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Box Hill's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Box Hill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Box Hill VS Kingston City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Box Hill

(Home)
12 Sept
Bayside Argonauts
3 : 2
Box Hill
29 Aug
Goulburn Valley Suns
3 : 0
Box Hill
21 Aug
Box Hill
1 : 0
Nunawading City
15 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2
Box Hill
07 Aug
Bayside Argonauts
0 : 1
Box Hill
Page 1 of 6

Kingston City

(Away)
29 Aug
Eastern Lions
2 : 2
Kingston City
22 Aug
Malvern City
1 : 3
Kingston City
15 Aug
Altona City
1 : 4
Kingston City
08 Aug
Moreland City
3 : 5
Kingston City
31 Jul
Kingston City
0 : 1
Springvale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)