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Box Hill W vs South Melbourne W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Box Hill W Logo

Box Hill W

1 - 0
FT
South Melbourne W Logo

South Melbourne W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Box Hill W in this NPL Victoria Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Box Hill W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Box Hill W
6%
Draws
4%
South Melbourne W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Box Hill W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Melbourne W haven't matched Box Hill W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Box Hill W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Box Hill W Clean Sheet 10%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Box Hill W South Melbourne W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 16 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 3.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Box Hill W
2:2
Mar 13, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Box Hill W vs South Melbourne W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Box Hill W 83 / 100
South Melbourne W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Box Hill W South Melbourne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Box Hill W scored in 95% of their last 22 outings.

Recent resilience: Box Hill W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

South Melbourne W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Box Hill W VS South Melbourne W
3.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Box Hill W

(Home)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
17 Jul
Spring Hills W
0 : 1
Box Hill W
10 Jul
Box Hill W
3 : 1
Boroondara Eagles W
04 Jul
Melbourne Victory U20 W
1 : 5
Box Hill W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
Page 1 of 5

South Melbourne W

(Away)
25 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 0
Spring Hills W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0
South Melbourne W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)