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Brackley vs Aldershot

England England

National League 2025/2026 St James Park, Brackley
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Roberts M.
37'
Wodskou B.
46'
Sub
Jenkins L. In: Barrett J.
Out: Jenkins L.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Brackley and Aldershot finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brackley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Brackley
17%
Draws
70%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aldershot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aldershot carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aldershot's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Brackley Clean Sheet 20%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Aldershot
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League
Brackley vs Aldershot
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Brackley
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hall C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Penney M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 16 / 100
Aldershot 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Brackley's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldershot's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Brackley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Aldershot
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0
Brackley
18 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 0
Brackley
14 Jul
Leamington
2 : 2
Brackley
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0
Brackley
18 Apr
Brackley
2 : 1
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
25 Jul
Hanwell Town
0 : 2
Aldershot
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3
Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1
Farnborough
15 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 0
Portsmouth
11 Jul
Fleet Town
0 : 2
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)