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Stadium Background

Brackley vs Burnley U21

England England

National League Cup St James Park, Brackley
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Stewart C.
Assist: Newton D.
25' Event
Hall C.
Assist: Byrne S.
46'
Sub
Byrne S. In: Price J.
Out: Byrne S.

AI Match Summary

Brackley in this National League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brackley
44%
Draws
20%
Burnley U21
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnley U21 have won more games recently than Brackley.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Burnley U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brackley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Brackley Clean Sheet 15%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Burnley U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Brackley vs Burnley U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hall C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Burnley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 35 / 100
Burnley U21 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Burnley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Brackley's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Brackley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Burnley U21
0.63 Goals Scored 0.8
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0
Brackley
18 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 0
Brackley
14 Jul
Leamington
2 : 2
Brackley
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0
Brackley
18 Apr
Brackley
2 : 1
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U21

(Away)
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
13 Apr
Burnley U21
2 : 1
West Brom U21
12 Apr
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Blackburn U21
23 Mar
Ipswich U21
0 : 0
Burnley U21
16 Mar
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamworth440012:112
2Brackley43017:310
3Rochdale43016:59
4Solihull Moors43016:38
5Everton U2142024:55
6Manchester United U2141034:93
7Burnley U2140042:81
8Blackburn U2140042:90
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood440013:412
2Braintree43018:59
3Wealdstone43016:49
4Forest Green42028:67
5Nottingham U2142023:36
6West Brom U2141035:103
7Leicester U2141036:102
8Wolves U2140045:120
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham U21440013:411
2Truro43017:59
3Woking43015:48
4Brighton U2142025:67
5Aldershot41037:114
6Sutton41038:134
7Fulham U2141038:53
8Southampton U2141037:122
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boston United430111:49
2Halifax43016:29
3Newcastle Utd U2142027:67
4Scunthorpe42028:86
5Leeds U2142026:86
6Sunderland U2142025:86
7Middlesbrough U2141036:73
8Gateshead41034:102
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)