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Brackley vs Burnley U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 St James Park, Brackley
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Stewart C.
Assist: Newton D.
25' Event
Hall C.
Assist: Byrne S.
46'
Sub
Byrne S. In: Price J.
Out: Byrne S.

AI Match Summary

Brackley in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Brackley
15%
Draws
36%
Burnley U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brackley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Burnley U21 have won more games recently than Brackley.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Burnley U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brackley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Brackley Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Burnley U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Brackley vs Burnley U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hall C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Burnley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 36 / 100
Burnley U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Burnley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Brackley's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Burnley U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Burnley U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
22 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 1
Brackley
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U21

(Away)
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3
Reading U21
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3
Burnley U21
14 Aug
Wolves U21
2 : 0
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)