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Stadium Background

Brackley vs Manchester United U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 St James Park, Brackley
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Waldron D.
25' Event
Hall C.
61'
Sub
Lilly Z. In: Kelly G.
Out: Lilly Z.

AI Match Summary

Brackley in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Brackley
15%
Draws
48%
Manchester United U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchester United U21 have won more games recently than Brackley.
  • Manchester United U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Manchester United U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brackley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Brackley Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester United U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Manchester United U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Brackley vs Manchester United U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Waldron D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hall C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Manchester United U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Biancheri G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 10 / 100
Manchester United U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Manchester United U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United U21 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Brackley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Brackley scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Manchester United U21
0.88 Goals Scored 2.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
19 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Portchester
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
Page 1 of 6

Manchester United U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Manchester United U21
3 : 2
Brentford U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1
Leicester U21
24 Aug
Manchester United U21
5 : 0
Ipswich U21
31 Jul
Altrincham
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)