Sport Picks
Bradford City vs Stevenage
England
League One 2025/2026 Valley Parade, Bradford 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Freestone L. In: Sweeney D.
Out: Freestone L.
18'
18'
Sub
Pointon B. In: Lapslie G.
Out: Pointon B.
61'
61'
Kemp D.
AI Match Summary
Stevenage in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stevenage.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bradford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bradford City lately — more wins on the board than Stevenage.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 23%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bradford City | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Stevenage
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Bradford City
1:1
Feb 11, 2023 League Two
Stevenage vs Bradford City
2:3
Sep 17, 2022 League Two
Bradford City vs Stevenage
3:0
Feb 8, 2022 League Two
Stevenage vs Bradford City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bradford City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Kemp D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bradford City 37 / 100
Stevenage 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bradford City Stevenage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Bradford City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Bradford City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Stevenage has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bradford City VS Stevenage
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bradford City
(Home) 22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1 Bradford City
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Bradford City
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0 Mansfield
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0 Mansfield
01 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
26 Aug
Bradford City
1 : 0 Burnley
15 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0 Peterborough
Page 1 of 3
Stevenage
(Away) 22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0 Stevenage
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
