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Braga B vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Yuk J.
29'
Marques T.
38'
Ferreira T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Braga B and Paredes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Braga B
20%
Draws
42%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Paredes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Braga B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%
Paredes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga B Paredes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Braga B
4:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Paredes
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs Braga B
2:0
Aug 8, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Paredes
1:0
Jan 23, 2023 Liga 3
Braga B vs Paredes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Paredes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga B 68 / 100
Paredes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga B Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Braga B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Paredes conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Braga B VS Paredes
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga B

(Home)
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1
Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
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Paredes

(Away)
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
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