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Braga B vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Yuk J.
29'
Marques T.
38'
Ferreira T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Braga B and Paredes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Braga B
44%
Draws
20%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Braga B and Paredes close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Braga B Clean Sheet 20%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga B Paredes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Braga B
4:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Paredes
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs Braga B
2:0
Aug 8, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Paredes
1:0
Jan 23, 2023 Liga 3
Braga B vs Paredes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paredes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga B 36 / 100
Paredes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga B Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga B scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Paredes let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Braga B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Braga B VS Paredes
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga B

(Home)
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
03 May
Braga B
0 : 0
AD Fafe
26 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Braga B
19 Apr
Braga B
1 : 2
Sanjoanense
12 Apr
Paredes
4 : 1
Braga B
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Paredes

(Away)
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0
Paredes
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2
AD Marco 09
26 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Paredes
18 Apr
Paredes
0 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
12 Apr
Paredes
4 : 1
Braga B
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