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Braga U19 vs Chaves U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Oliveira A.
34' Event
Costa F.
45' Event
Trovisco J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Braga U19 and Chaves U19 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Braga U19
30%
Draws
37%
Chaves U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Braga U19 come out ahead of Chaves U19 on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Braga U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Braga U19 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Braga U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga U19 Chaves U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 3
Draws 3 9
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.23 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Chaves U19
4:2
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Braga U19
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Chaves U19
4:1
Oct 3, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Braga U19
0:3
Dec 21, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Chaves U19
8:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Chaves U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga U19 50 / 100
Chaves U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga U19 Chaves U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga U19's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Chaves U19 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Braga U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Braga U19 VS Chaves U19
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
05 Sept
Vizela U19
3 : 1
Braga U19
29 Aug
Braga U19
0 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
22 Aug
Braga U19
2 : 0
Feirense U19
Page 1 of 7

Chaves U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0
Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2
Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Chaves U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)