Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Navarro F.
32'
32'
Horta R.
Assist: Bruma
61'
61'
Sub
Horta R. In: Martinez G.
Out: Horta R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between Braga and Boavista finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Braga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Braga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Braga a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Braga here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Braga Clean Sheet 20%
Boavista Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Braga | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 26, 2025 Liga Portugal
Braga vs Boavista
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Braga
0:1
Feb 26, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Braga
0:4
Sep 24, 2023 Liga Portugal
Braga vs Boavista
4:1
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Braga vs Boavista
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Braga Compare
Top Goalscorer Navarro F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Horta R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Boavista Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Braga 85 / 100
Boavista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Braga Boavista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Braga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Braga's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Braga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Braga VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Braga
(Home) 20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0 Braga
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0 Estoril
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1 Braga
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2 Braga
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0 Estoril
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Aug
Braga
2 : 0 Austria Vienna
06 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Din. Minsk
30 Jul
Braga
4 : 0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
Page 1 of 4
Boavista
(Away) 17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2 FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5 Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
07 Apr
Rio Ave
0 : 2 Boavista
16 Mar
Moreirense
1 : 0 Boavista
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88:27 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84:28 | 80 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:30 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55:30 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:37 | 54 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:53 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:44 | 45 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | 40 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:55 | 38 |
| 12 | Arouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:49 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32:50 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24:50 | 29 |
| 16 | AFS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25:60 | 27 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:46 | 27 |
| 18 | Boavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24:59 | 24 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
