Sport Picks
Braga vs Ferencvaros
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga 
Match Events
11'
11'
Horta R.
Assist: Zalazar R.
15'
15'
Grillitsch F.
34'
34'
Martinez G.
Assist: Victor P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Braga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Braga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ferencvaros come out ahead of Braga on wins alone.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Braga taking it.
- Ferencvaros arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Braga, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Braga Clean Sheet 20%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Braga | Ferencvaros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 18, 2026 Europa League
Braga vs Ferencvaros
4:0
Mar 12, 2026 Europa League
Ferencvaros vs Braga
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Braga Compare
Top Goalscorer Horta R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Grillitsch F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Ferencvaros Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Braga 76 / 100
Ferencvaros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Braga Ferencvaros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Braga scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Braga stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Ferencvaros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Braga VS Ferencvaros
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Braga
(Home) 09 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 2 Braga
06 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Din. Minsk
30 Jul
Braga
4 : 0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
22 Jul
Zeleznicar Pancevo
0 : 1 Braga
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Din. Minsk
30 Jul
Braga
4 : 0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2 Celta Vigo
03 Jul
Braga
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
16 May
Braga
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 3
Ferencvaros
(Away) 08 Aug
Ferencvaros
1 : 2 Real Madrid
05 Aug
Ferencvaros
1 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
02 Aug
Ferencvaros
0 : 0 Vasas
30 Jul
Ferencvaros
2 : 2 Twente
26 Jul
Paks
4 : 2 Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Paks
4 : 2 Ferencvaros
23 Jul
Twente
1 : 2 Ferencvaros
09 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 2 Ferencvaros
03 May
Ujpest
0 : 5 Ferencvaros
19 Apr
Gyor
1 : 0 Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3
