Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Braga W vs SL Benfica W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Moller C.
Assist: Amado C.
14' Event
Schmidt M.
Penalty Missed
40'
Amado C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Braga W
20%
Draws
46%
SL Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Braga W haven't matched SL Benfica W's recent run of results.
  • Braga W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • SL Benfica W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SL Benfica W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SL Benfica W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Braga W Clean Sheet 10%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga W SL Benfica W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 12 26
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.58 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs SL Benfica W
1:3
Mar 18, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
SL Benfica W vs Braga W
4:1
Feb 4, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Braga W vs SL Benfica W
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Braga W vs SL Benfica W
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Braga W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SL Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga W 34 / 100
SL Benfica W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga W SL Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Braga W scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Braga W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: SL Benfica W conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Braga W VS SL Benfica W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga W

(Home)
27 Sept
Braga W
0 : 0
Sporting W
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 7

SL Benfica W

(Away)
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
06 Sept
SL Benfica W
5 : 1
FC Porto W
17 May
SL Benfica W
2 : 0
FC Porto W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Braga W 1
Sporting W 0
Feirense W 0
Rio Ave W 5
Torreense W 9
Leiria W 1
Damaiense W 0
SL Benfica W 2
Gil Vicente W 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
C.F. Benfica W 1
Famalicao W 2
Maritimo W 2
Valadares Gaia W 0
FC Porto W 3
Ponte de Vagos W 0
Quarter-finals
Braga W 2
Rio Ave W 1
Torreense W 2
SL Benfica W 3
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
Famalicao W 0
Maritimo W 1
FC Porto W 2
Semi-finals
Braga W 1
SL Benfica W 5
Vitoria Guimaraes W 2
FC Porto W 3
Final
SL Benfica W 2
FC Porto W 0