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Bragantino vs Blooming

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fernando Santos
(Penalty)
36'
Sosa I.
37'
Bejarano Da.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-6. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bragantino
20%
Draws
51%
Blooming
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blooming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bragantino come out ahead of Blooming on wins alone.
  • Model gives Blooming a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Bragantino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bragantino, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 10%
Blooming Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino Blooming
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Blooming vs Bragantino
0:6
Apr 17, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Bragantino vs Blooming
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitta I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Blooming Compare

Top Goalscorer Hinojosa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino 14 / 100
Blooming 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino Blooming

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blooming Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blooming let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bragantino scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bragantino has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino VS Blooming
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Bragantino
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

Blooming

(Away)
20 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
3 : 1
Blooming
17 Sept
Blooming
1 : 1
Club Universitario de Vinto
12 Sept
Blooming
6 : 1
Academia del Balompie
10 Sept
Blooming
5 : 1
GV San Jose
07 Sept
Nacional Potosi
2 : 1
Blooming
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)