Sport Picks
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Paulista Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista 
Match Events
19'
19'
Bobadilla D.
36'
36'
Diaz E.
36'
36'
Lucas Barbosa
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bragantino come out ahead of Sao Paulo on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Bragantino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bragantino | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Serie A Betano
Sao Paulo vs Bragantino
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Paulista
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A Betano
Sao Paulo vs Bragantino
0:1
Jul 17, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bragantino Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavo Marques
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sao Paulo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bobadilla D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lucas Moura
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bragantino 41 / 100
Sao Paulo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bragantino Sao Paulo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bragantino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bragantino found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Sao Paulo let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Sao Paulo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bragantino VS Sao Paulo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bragantino
(Home) 07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1 Mirassol
03 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 Bragantino
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1 Mirassol
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0 Gremio
12 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 1 Atletico-MG
09 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 2 Corinthians
Page 1 of 3
Sao Paulo
(Away) 08 Oct
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2 Santos
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
12 Aug
Bolivar
1 : 1 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Novorizontino 2
Santos 1
Portuguesa 1
Corinthians 2
Palmeiras 4
Capivariano 0
Bragantino 1
Sao Paulo 2
Semi-finals
Novorizontino 1
Corinthians 0
Palmeiras 2
Sao Paulo 1
Final
Novorizontino 1
Palmeiras 3
