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Brage vs Gefle

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Skille J.

AI Match Summary

Brage in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Brage
20%
Draws
73%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gefle have won more games recently than Brage.
  • Win probability leans Gefle's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Brage Clean Sheet 13%
Gefle Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brage Gefle
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Brage vs Gefle
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Superettan
Gefle vs Brage
2:1
Jun 28, 2024 Superettan
Brage vs Gefle
2:2
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Brage vs Gefle
3:0
Aug 5, 2023 Superettan
Gefle vs Brage
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Skille J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brage 19 / 100
Gefle 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brage Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Brage's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Brage stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brage VS Gefle
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brage

(Home)
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
23 Aug
Brage
1 : 2
Nordic United
18 Aug
Karlbergs
2 : 0
Brage
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Gefle

(Away)
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
15 Aug
Gefle
2 : 0
Umea FC
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