Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brage vs Ljungskile

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Domnarvsvallen, Borlange
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Mortensen A.
51' Event
Mortensen A.
Assist: Lundin A.
63'
Sub
Liljedahl J. In: Rasheed A.
Out: Liljedahl J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Brage
30%
Draws
47%
Ljungskile
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ljungskile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ljungskile have won more games recently than Brage.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Brage Clean Sheet 14%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brage Ljungskile
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Ljungskile
2:2
Oct 22, 2020 Superettan
Brage vs Ljungskile
0:1
Jul 8, 2020 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Brage
1:3
Aug 24, 2013 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Brage
4:1
Apr 29, 2013 Superettan
Brage vs Ljungskile
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Mortensen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nordh G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ljungskile Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljung D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brage 31 / 100
Ljungskile 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brage Ljungskile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Brage's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ljungskile let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Ljungskile lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brage VS Ljungskile
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brage

(Home)
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
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Ljungskile

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)