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Braintree vs Horsham FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Luer G.
71' Event
Luer G.
85' Event
Paternoster V.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Braintree and Horsham FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horsham FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Braintree
15%
Draws
49%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Braintree haven't matched Horsham FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Braintree Clean Sheet 16%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Horsham FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Braintree vs Horsham FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Paternoster V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Luer G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 36 / 100
Horsham FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Horsham FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsham FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Horsham FC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Horsham FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Horsham FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
10 Oct
Braintree
1 : 2
Truro
06 Oct
Braintree
1 : 3
Walton & Hersham
03 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1
Braintree
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

Horsham FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Maidstone
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)