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Stadium Background

Braintree vs Nottingham U21

England England

National League Cup Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium, Braintree
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cooper C.
25'
44'
Whitehall A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Braintree advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Braintree
33%
Draws
40%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Braintree haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nottingham U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Braintree, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Braintree Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Nottingham U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Braintree vs Nottingham U21
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 National League Cup
Braintree vs Nottingham U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nottingham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 26 / 100
Nottingham U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Braintree remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Nottingham U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
01 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2
Aldershot
28 Jul
Felixstowe & Walton
2 : 1
Braintree
25 Jul
Braintree
4 : 0
Colchester U21
21 Jul
Braintree
1 : 0
Woking
18 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2
Braintree
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamworth440012:112
2Brackley43017:310
3Rochdale43016:59
4Solihull Moors43016:38
5Everton U2142024:55
6Manchester United U2141034:93
7Burnley U2140042:81
8Blackburn U2140042:90
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood440013:412
2Braintree43018:59
3Wealdstone43016:49
4Forest Green42028:67
5Nottingham U2142023:36
6West Brom U2141035:103
7Leicester U2141036:102
8Wolves U2140045:120
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham U21440013:411
2Truro43017:59
3Woking43015:48
4Brighton U2142025:67
5Aldershot41037:114
6Sutton41038:134
7Fulham U2141038:53
8Southampton U2141037:122
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boston United430111:49
2Halifax43016:29
3Newcastle Utd U2142027:67
4Scunthorpe42028:86
5Leeds U2142026:86
6Sunderland U2142025:86
7Middlesbrough U2141036:73
8Gateshead41034:102
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)