Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Barlow A.
51'
51'
Clarridge J.
53'
53'
Francis-Clarke A.
AI Match Summary
Rochdale in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rochdale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Braintree
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rochdale lately — more wins on the board than Braintree.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Rochdale have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Braintree Clean Sheet 14%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Braintree | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 National League
Braintree vs Rochdale
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Rochdale vs Braintree
2:0
May 5, 2025 National League
Braintree vs Rochdale
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Rochdale vs Braintree
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Braintree Compare
Top Goalscorer Akinde J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Rochdale Compare
Top Goalscorer Barlow A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dieseruvwe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Braintree 30 / 100
Rochdale 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Braintree Rochdale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Braintree Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Braintree scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Rochdale conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Rochdale's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Braintree VS Rochdale
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Braintree
(Home) 22 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Horsham FC
18 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Ipswich U21
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
01 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Aldershot
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22 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Horsham FC
18 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Ipswich U21
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
01 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Aldershot
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Rochdale
(Away) 22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2 Crawley Town
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0 Rochdale
08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0 Rochdale
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3 Halifax
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0 Rochdale
08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0 Rochdale
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
14 Jul
United of Manchester
2 : 0 Rochdale
10 May
Boreham Wood
2 : 3 Rochdale
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
