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Braintree vs Truro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Braintree host Truro in the National League South. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Truro have shipped 0.7 goals a game lately, while Braintree have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Braintree slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.75, favoring Truro. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Braintree
20%
Draws
57%
Truro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Truro lately — more wins on the board than Braintree.
  • Win probability leans Truro's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Braintree have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Braintree Clean Sheet 12%
Truro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Truro
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 National League
Truro vs Braintree
2:3
Jan 27, 2026 National League Cup
Truro vs Braintree
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 National League
Braintree vs Truro
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Braintree
1:2
Aug 12, 2023 National League South
Braintree vs Truro
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 22 / 100
Truro 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Braintree scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Truro let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Braintree went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Truro
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
03 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1
Braintree
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
Page 1 of 6

Truro

(Away)
03 Oct
Truro
4 : 0
Cirencester
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)