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Brann vs Aalesund

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026 Brann Stadion, Bergen
Brann Logo

Brann

2 - 1
FT
Aalesund Logo

Aalesund

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Gudmundsson O.
10' Event
Haram S.
Assist: Sorensen J.
Own Goal
39' Event
Mathisen U.
Assist: Soltvedt J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Brann advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Brann
28%
Draws
22%
Aalesund
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Brann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Brann carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Brann taking it.
  • Brann have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brann, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Brann have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Brann Clean Sheet 12%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brann Aalesund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Brann
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 NM Cup
Brann vs Aalesund
2:1
Aug 20, 2023 Eliteserien
Brann vs Aalesund
5:1
Jun 7, 2023 NM Cup
Aalesund vs Brann
3:4
Jun 4, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Brann
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brann Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathisen U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brann 47 / 100
Aalesund 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brann Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brann's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aalesund conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Brann stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brann VS Aalesund
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brann

(Home)
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3
Valerenga
23 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 2
Brann
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
03 Jul
Brann
1 : 2
Kristiansund
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund

(Away)
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
27 Jun
Kristiansund
0 : 3
Aalesund
29 May
Aalesund
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Spjelkavik2
Brattvag4
Forde0
Hodd2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind4
Alta3
Finnsnes0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)8
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Asker3
Skeid0
Vestfossen1
Mjondalen5
Bjarg2
Sogndal0
Vidar1
V. Haugesund4
Gamle Oslo2
Eidsvold TF1
Baerum0
Stabaek5
Flint0
Eik-Tonsberg1
Vigor0
Start3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Sandviken0
Gneist IL2
Asane3
Strindheim2
Stjordals Blink3
Traeff1
Aalesund4
Arendal3
Jerv2
Flekkeroy1
Egersund2
Follo6
Notodden2
Nordstrand1
Lyn3
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Ull/Kisa0
Strommen2
Pors1
Odds BK3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade2
Ranheim1
Nardo0
Levanger6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19193
Sotra2
Madla IL1
Sandnes Ulf2
Honefoss3
Raufoss0
Lorenskog1
Lillestrom4
Junkeren3
Rana FK1
Brumunddal1
Kongsvinger5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas1
Grorud0
Rade0
Moss1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/32-finals
Brattvag5
Hodd4
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)5
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
Asker1
Mjondalen4
Bjarg2
V. Haugesund1
Gamle Oslo1
Stabaek4
Eik-Tonsberg3
Start0
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Asane0
Stjordals Blink1
Aalesund2
Arendal2
Egersund3
Follo0
Lyn2
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Strommen2
Odds BK3
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade1
Levanger3
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19192
Sandnes Ulf6
Honefoss2
Lillestrom3
Junkeren0
Kongsvinger4
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas2
Moss1
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/16-finals
Brattvag1
Bryne2
Haugesund1
Rosenborg4
Tromsdalen (TUIL)6
Sandefjord1
Brann5
Mjondalen1
Bjarg6
Stabaek1
Eik-Tonsberg0
Viking2
Lysekloster1
Aalesund3
Egersund3
Lyn2
Stromsgodset1
Molde2
Odds BK1
Bodo/Glimt3
Levanger1
Ham-Kam5
Sandnes Ulf1
Lillestrom2
Kongsvinger1
KFUM Oslo3
Tromso2
Kristiansund1
Valerenga1
Fredrikstad2
Kjelsas5
Sarpsborg 086
1/8-finals
Bryne4
Rosenborg2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)2
Brann3
Bjarg0
Viking3
Aalesund3
Egersund2
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt2
Ham-Kam0
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo2
Tromso1
Fredrikstad2
Sarpsborg 081
Quarter-finals
Bryne1
Brann2
Viking1
Aalesund2
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom0
KFUM Oslo3
Fredrikstad2
Semi-finals
Brann2
Aalesund1
Bodo/Glimt2
KFUM Oslo1
Final
Brann3
Bodo/Glimt4