Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Gudmundsson O.
10'
10'
Haram S.
Assist: Sorensen J.
Own Goal
39'
39'
Mathisen U.
Assist: Soltvedt J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Brann advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brann carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Brann have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Brann, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Brann have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brann | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Brann
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 NM Cup
Brann vs Aalesund
2:1
Aug 20, 2023 Eliteserien
Brann vs Aalesund
5:1
Jun 7, 2023 NM Cup
Aalesund vs Brann
3:4
Jun 4, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Brann
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brann Compare
Top Goalscorer Mathisen U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Aalesund Compare
Top Goalscorer Hagen E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brann 34 / 100
Aalesund 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brann Aalesund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aalesund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brann's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Aalesund conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Brann stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brann VS Aalesund
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Brann
(Home) 02 Oct
Start
2 : 1 Brann
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1 Bodo/Glimt
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2 Brann
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0 Brann
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2 Lillestrom
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1 Bodo/Glimt
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2 Lillestrom
27 Aug
Brann
3 : 2 PAOK
16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0 Ham-Kam
05 Aug
Brann
0 : 1 Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 3
Aalesund
(Away) 19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2 Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4 Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1 Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0 Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Aalesund
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2 Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4 Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1 Aalesund
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Aalesund
22 Aug
Langevag
0 : 13 Aalesund
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Spjelkavik 2
Brattvag 4
Forde 0
Hodd 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 4
Alta 3
Finnsnes 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asker 3
Skeid 0
Vestfossen 1
Mjondalen 5
Bjarg 2
Sogndal 0
Vidar 1
V. Haugesund 4
Gamle Oslo 2
Eidsvold TF 1
Baerum 0
Stabaek 5
Flint 0
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Vigor 0
Start 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Sandviken 0
Gneist IL 2
Asane 3
Strindheim 2
Stjordals Blink 3
Traeff 1
Aalesund 4
Arendal 3
Jerv 2
Flekkeroy 1
Egersund 2
Follo 6
Notodden 2
Nordstrand 1
Lyn 3
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Ull/Kisa 0
Strommen 2
Pors 1
Odds BK 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 2
Ranheim 1
Nardo 0
Levanger 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 3
Sotra 2
Madla IL 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Honefoss 3
Raufoss 0
Lorenskog 1
Lillestrom 4
Junkeren 3
Rana FK 1
Brumunddal 1
Kongsvinger 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 1
Grorud 0
Rade 0
Moss 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/32-finals
Brattvag 5
Hodd 4
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
Asker 1
Mjondalen 4
Bjarg 2
V. Haugesund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Stabaek 4
Eik-Tonsberg 3
Start 0
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Asane 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Aalesund 2
Arendal 2
Egersund 3
Follo 0
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Strommen 2
Odds BK 3
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 1
Levanger 3
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 2
Sandnes Ulf 6
Honefoss 2
Lillestrom 3
Junkeren 0
Kongsvinger 4
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 2
Moss 1
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/16-finals
Brattvag 1
Bryne 2
Haugesund 1
Rosenborg 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 6
Sandefjord 1
Brann 5
Mjondalen 1
Bjarg 6
Stabaek 1
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Viking 2
Lysekloster 1
Aalesund 3
Egersund 3
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset 1
Molde 2
Odds BK 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Levanger 1
Ham-Kam 5
Sandnes Ulf 1
Lillestrom 2
Kongsvinger 1
KFUM Oslo 3
Tromso 2
Kristiansund 1
Valerenga 1
Fredrikstad 2
Kjelsas 5
Sarpsborg 08 6
1/8-finals
Bryne 4
Rosenborg 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 2
Brann 3
Bjarg 0
Viking 3
Aalesund 3
Egersund 2
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Ham-Kam 0
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 2
Tromso 1
Fredrikstad 2
Sarpsborg 08 1
Quarter-finals
Bryne 1
Brann 2
Viking 1
Aalesund 2
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 0
KFUM Oslo 3
Fredrikstad 2
Semi-finals
Brann 2
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
KFUM Oslo 1
Final
Brann 3
Bodo/Glimt 4
