Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brann vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Brann Stadion, Bergen
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brann host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Lillestrom have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while Brann have conceded 1.52 and scored 2.17. Past meetings favor Brann slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.00) back Brann to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Brann
30%
Draws
12%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brann come out ahead of Lillestrom on wins alone.
  • Brann are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brann here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Brann Clean Sheet 20%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brann Lillestrom
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Eliteserien
Brann vs Lillestrom
2:1
May 12, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Brann
0:2
Oct 1, 2023 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Brann
0:2
Jun 11, 2023 Eliteserien
Brann vs Lillestrom
2:2
May 20, 2023 NM Cup
Brann vs Lillestrom
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brann 85 / 100
Lillestrom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brann Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brann Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brann found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Lillestrom conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Brann went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brann VS Lillestrom
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brann

(Home)
23 Aug
Fyllingen
0 : 4
Brann
20 Aug
PAOK
1 : 1
Brann
16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
11 Aug
Apollon Limassol
2 : 4
Brann
05 Aug
Brann
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom

(Away)
20 Aug
KF Egnatia
0 : 0
Lillestrom
15 Aug
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1
Lillestrom
09 Aug
Lillestrom
0 : 2
Rosenborg
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Lillestrom
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 17 13 1 3 40:17 40
3 Tromso 17 10 4 3 34:20 34
4 Molde 17 8 3 6 32:26 27
5 Lillestrom 17 8 2 7 23:21 26
6 Brann 17 8 1 8 36:27 25
7 Rosenborg 17 7 3 7 25:22 24
8 Fredrikstad 17 7 2 8 18:27 23
9 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 4 7 20:23 22
10 Ham-Kam 17 6 4 7 24:30 22
11 Valerenga 17 6 3 8 28:34 21
12 KFUM Oslo 17 5 4 8 19:27 19
13 Sandefjord 17 5 3 9 15:23 18
14 Kristiansund 17 4 3 10 15:27 15
15 Aalesund 17 2 9 6 27:41 15
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)