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Brasil de Farroupilha vs EC Cruzeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2024
Brasil de Farroupilha Logo

Brasil de Farroupilha

1 - 3
FT
EC Cruzeiro Logo

EC Cruzeiro

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Alves J.
24' Event
Ramon
25' Event
Theobald C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Cruzeiro in this Gaucho 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Cruzeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Brasil de Farroupilha
30%
Draws
35%
EC Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Brasil de Farroupilha have won more games recently than EC Cruzeiro.
  • Brasil de Farroupilha are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 68%
EC Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha EC Cruzeiro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 17 9
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.94 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs EC Cruzeiro
1:3
Apr 25, 2024 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:1
Jun 1, 2022 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs EC Cruzeiro
2:0
Apr 24, 2022 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Farroupilha
1:1
Sep 25, 2021 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

EC Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramon
2 Goals
Assists Leader Theobald C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 77 / 100
EC Cruzeiro 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha EC Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Farroupilha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Cruzeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Brasil de Farroupilha scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Brasil de Farroupilha went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 7

EC Cruzeiro

(Away)
10 Jul
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
07 Jul
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 2
EC Cruzeiro
03 Jul
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 3
EC Cruzeiro
29 Jun
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jun
GE Gloria
3 : 0
EC Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Gloria 14 9 2 3 17:7 29
2 Passo Fundo 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 Veranopolis 14 7 2 5 19:13 23
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 5 3 15:14 23
5 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 3 7 17:17 15
6 SC Gaucho 14 4 3 7 15:15 15
7 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 0 9 11:24 15
8 EC Cruzeiro 14 3 2 9 11:23 11
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monsoon 14 8 4 2 20:10 28
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 3 3 26:12 27
3 Lajeadense 14 6 6 2 13:7 24
4 Pelotas 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
5 Aimore 14 6 3 5 20:13 21
6 GE Bage 14 6 2 6 14:14 20
7 Futvida 14 2 2 10 8:24 8
8 Sao Gabriel 14 1 2 11 7:34 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)