Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Pelotas vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF Estádio Bento Freitas, Pelotas
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Masson G.
17' Event
Gabriel Morbeck
(Penalty)
32' Event
Gabriel Morbeck

AI Match Summary

Brasil de Pelotas in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Brasil de Pelotas
11%
Draws
9%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brasil de Pelotas lately — more wins on the board than Farroupilha.
  • Brasil de Pelotas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brasil de Pelotas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas Farroupilha
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Farroupilha
4:0
May 21, 2026 Copa FGF
Farroupilha vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Masson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Morbeck
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Farroupilha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 86 / 100
Farroupilha 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brasil de Pelotas scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Farroupilha has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Brasil de Pelotas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS Farroupilha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Pelotas

(Home)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Farroupilha

(Away)
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
27 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 0
Farroupilha
21 May
Farroupilha
0 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)