Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Pelotas vs Brasil de Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gabriel Morbeck
41' Event
Silas
59' Event
Marcelinho

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Brasil de Pelotas and Brasil de Farroupilha finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brasil de Pelotas
35%
Draws
34%
Brasil de Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 20%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas Brasil de Farroupilha
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 14 15
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:2
Apr 14, 2013 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Brasil de Farroupilha
0:0
Jun 20, 2012 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:2
May 20, 2012 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Brasil de Farroupilha
0:2
Jun 15, 2011 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Brasil de Pelotas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Morbeck
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jair Berlitz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 32 / 100
Brasil de Farroupilha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas Brasil de Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Brasil de Farroupilha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Brasil de Pelotas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS Brasil de Farroupilha
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Pelotas

(Home)
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
09 Sept
Veranopolis
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Away)
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
13 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 0
Apafut
09 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 14 8 5 1 21:9 29
2 Veranopolis 14 7 4 3 12:6 25
3 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 6 2 16:9 24
4 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 6 6 2 17:11 24
5 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 8 1 15:9 23
6 Santa Cruz RS 14 5 7 2 14:10 22
7 Brasil de Pelotas 13 5 6 2 14:8 21
8 Apafut 14 5 6 3 18:13 21
9 Aimore 14 5 5 4 13:13 20
10 Pelotas 13 3 6 4 13:16 15
11 EC Guarani 14 3 6 5 15:20 15
12 SC Gaucho 14 3 3 8 11:15 12
13 GE Bage 14 2 6 6 9:18 12
14 GE Gloria 14 2 5 7 11:17 11
15 Gramadense 14 1 7 6 9:18 10
16 Lajeadense 14 1 2 11 5:21 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)