Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF Estádio Bento Freitas
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Masson G.

AI Match Summary

The Copa FGF game between Brasil de Pelotas and Santa Cruz RS finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasil de Pelotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brasil de Pelotas
22%
Draws
18%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brasil de Pelotas's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa FGF fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Brasil de Pelotas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 13
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Masson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 68 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas Santa Cruz RS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Brasil de Pelotas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz RS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS Santa Cruz RS
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas2
Santa Cruz RS1
Gramadense2
GE Bage1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas0
Gramadense1