Sport Picks

Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds

Bray

5 - 2

Longford

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

McCarthy T.

19'

Moore K.

21'

Sub

Williams D. In: Odum C.

Out: Williams D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Bray and Longford finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Bray

Draws

Longford

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bray carry the better recent record into this one.
Bray are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Bray Clean Sheet 15%

Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bray	Longford
Matches Played	34	28
Wins	15	10
Draws	7	7
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	2.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Division 1

Bray vs Longford

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

5:2

Apr 11, 2026 Division 1

Longford vs Bray

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Feb 13, 2026 Division 1

Bray vs Longford

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Sep 26, 2025 Division 1

Bray vs Longford

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Jul 26, 2025 Division 1

Longford vs Bray

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer McCormack B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sammy T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Paraschiv A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Omorehiomwan C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 84 / 100

Longford 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bray Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bray scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Longford let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bray has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS Longford

2.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46:15	54
2	Bray	23	10	7	6	46:30	37
3	UC Dublin	23	11	3	9	36:27	36
4	Longford	23	8	7	8	27:30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25:32	31
6	Wexford	23	7	7	9	27:32	28
7	Athlone	23	7	6	10	21:27	27
8	Kerry	23	6	8	9	24:29	26
9	Treaty United	23	5	8	10	22:34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20:38	22