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Bray vs Kerry

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds, Bray
Bray Logo

Bray

0 - 4
FT
Kerry Logo

Kerry

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kizenga A.
26'
Kizenga A.
26'
Kizenga A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kerry in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kerry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bray
20%
Draws
51%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bray haven't matched Kerry's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bray taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Kerry
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
0:1
Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
0:4
May 22, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
2:2
Mar 27, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bray Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Borden V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGrath S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 34 / 100
Kerry 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Kerry has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Bray remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS Kerry
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

Kerry

(Away)
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
15 Aug
Sligo Rovers
4 : 0
Kerry
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 31 21 5 5 64:29 68
2 UC Dublin 31 14 7 10 55:40 49
3 Bray 31 13 8 10 59:44 47
4 Cobh Ramblers 31 13 6 12 38:43 45
5 Kerry 31 11 9 11 39:36 42
6 Longford 31 11 8 12 41:41 41
7 Athlone 31 11 8 12 33:36 41
8 Wexford 31 10 7 14 34:46 37
9 Treaty United 31 8 9 14 31:45 33
10 Finn Harps 31 6 7 18 29:63 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)