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Bray vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds, Bray
Bray Logo

Bray

5 - 2
FT
Longford Logo

Longford

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
McCarthy T.
19'
Moore K.
21'
Sub
Williams D. In: Odum C.
Out: Williams D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Bray and Longford finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bray
15%
Draws
59%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bray carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Longford
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.23 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Bray
4:2
Jun 19, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
5:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Bray
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer McCormack B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sammy T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Paraschiv A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omorehiomwan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 30 / 100
Longford 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bray scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Longford let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Bray has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS Longford
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
07 Aug
Bray
5 : 0
Finn Harps
03 Aug
Wexford
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 7

Longford

(Away)
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Longford
03 Aug
Longford
5 : 0
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 29 21 4 4 61:25 67
2 UC Dublin 29 14 5 10 52:37 47
3 Bray 29 12 7 10 57:43 43
4 Longford 29 11 8 10 41:38 41
5 Cobh Ramblers 29 12 5 12 34:40 41
6 Kerry 29 10 9 10 38:35 39
7 Athlone 29 10 7 12 30:34 37
8 Wexford 29 9 7 13 32:43 34
9 Treaty United 29 7 9 13 29:44 30
10 Finn Harps 29 5 7 17 26:61 22
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)