Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brazil U17 vs Ecuador U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 2025 Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Brazil U17 Logo

Brazil U17

3 - 2
FT
Ecuador U17 Logo

Ecuador U17

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Luis Eduardo
Own Goal
45'
Dacosta M.
46'
Sub
Wesley Nata In: Kayke Ayrton
Out: Wesley Nata
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brazil U17 in this South American Championship U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Brazil U17
15%
Draws
27%
Ecuador U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil U17 have won more games recently than Ecuador U17.
  • Win probability leans Brazil U17's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brazil U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Brazil U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U17 Ecuador U17
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 25 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.36 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.67 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 South American Championship U17
Brazil U17 vs Ecuador U17
3:2
Feb 27, 2025 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:0
Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:2
Nov 20, 2023 World Cup U17
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Eduardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ecuador U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U17 76 / 100
Ecuador U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U17 Ecuador U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U17 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Brazil U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ecuador U17 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Brazil U17 VS Ecuador U17
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil U17

(Home)
23 Aug
Brazil U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
20 Aug
Brazil U17
2 : 1
Venezuela U17
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
Page 1 of 7

Ecuador U17

(Away)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U17 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Chile U17 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Argentina U17 4 2 0 2 12:6 6
4 Paraguay U17 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
5 Peru U17 4 0 0 4 0:17 0
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Venezuela U17 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ecuador U17 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Bolivia U17 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Uruguay U17 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)