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Brazil U23 vs Uruguay U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pedrinho
31' Event
Cunha M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Ginella F. In: Rodriguez S.
Out: Ginella F.

AI Match Summary

Brazil U23 in this Olympic Games 2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Brazil U23
15%
Draws
34%
Uruguay U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Uruguay U23 haven't matched Brazil U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Olympic Games 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U23 Uruguay U23
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2020 Olympic Games
Brazil U23 vs Uruguay U23
1:1
Jan 23, 2020 Olympic Games
Brazil U23 vs Uruguay U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pepê
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Uruguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bueno S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U23 32 / 100
Uruguay U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U23 Uruguay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U23 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Uruguay U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Uruguay U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brazil U23 VS Uruguay U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil U23

(Home)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
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Uruguay U23

(Away)
02 Feb
Argentina U23
3 : 3
Uruguay U23
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
24 Jan
Paraguay U23
4 : 3
Uruguay U23
16 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 2
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Colombia U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Venezuela U23 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 Ecuador U23 4 0 0 4 0:9 0
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 4 0 0 11:5 12
2 Uruguay U23 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Bolivia U23 4 2 0 2 8:10 6
4 Paraguay U23 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)